Categories: Bitcoin Business

Fundstrat’s Tom Lee: Bitcoin Misery Index Suggests New Bull Run Soon

Click here to view original web page at bitcoinist.com

The Bitcoin Misery Index, a technical indicator of trades, has been falling all summer. The indicator is sinking to 50 points, a level at which Bitcoin (BTC) prices may start to rally, thinks Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.

The Bitcoin Misery Index (BMI) by Fundstrat is a subscription-only technical indicator based on the profitability of average trades. High scores for the index point to exuberance and hype, while low scores show that most investors are “miserable” and the market is difficult to navigate.

Bitcoin on the Bounce

Since the hot price moves of July, Bitcoin turned flat, and the BMI deflated slowly over the course of a few months. BMI sank from 67 down to around 53. Investment expert Tom Lee of Fundstrat pointed that BTC had a “boring” summer, but with the index under 50, more dramatic moves are possible.

For those wondering if the Bitcoin Misery Index still is useful. It told us markets would be trendless after July.

– we shared this with our clients on July 30th. https://t.co/CWXdz1jD3i

— Thomas Lee (@fundstrat) September 9, 2019

Following a “trendless” summer, bitcoin enters September with expectations of a possible shift in sentiment.

BTC remained stuck in a range, moving between $9,500 and $10,500 on most days. Other indexes, such as the “fear and greed” indicator, remained shaky. Fear is no longer extreme, but BTC is still somewhat directionless.

Bitcoin market prices appeared even shakier on Monday, sinking down to $10,279.69. The price slide and weakened volumes also brought lower market capitalization dominance of 69.7%, down from 71% in the previous week.

Time to FOMO?

Lee expects the BMI to be within the 50-53 points range in early September. At those levels, this predicts a potential stronger appreciation in the coming six months. The index is not an exact predictor, but Fundstrat sees more tailwinds for bitcoin than headwinds. Macroeconomic factors are also in play, such as a lowered Fed interest rate, as well as high fiat liquidity.

Fundstrat warned of lowered volumes, as BTC trading moved down to $16 billion in 24 hours, down from above 25 billion during the more active days in July. Lowered volumes may also cause unpredictable, dramatic price moves.

The most bullish predictions see bitcoin repeat the end-of-year rally from 2017. Fundstrat believes crypto winter is behind us, but a rally is not guaranteed.

Short-term negative predictions for BTC see the coin returning to $8,500, or at best hovering in rangebound trading. “Launchpad” levels may start at prices above $11,700, if BTC manages to rally to that range.

What are your thoughts on BTC sentiment? Share your thoughts in the comments section below!

Images via Shutterstock, Twitter @Fundstrat

cinerama

Illuminati, Mason, Anonymous I'll never tell. I can tell you this, global power is shifting and those who have the new intelligence are working to acquire this new force. You matter naught except to yourself, therefore prepare for the least expected and make your place in the new world order.

Disqus Comments Loading...
Share
Published by
cinerama

Recent Posts

Bitcoin Futures Contracts Headed Our Way in Early 2020

Futures exchange operator CME group has announced that it plans to begin offering bitcoin futures contracts starting in early 2020.… Read More

4 hours ago

History Suggests Bitcoin is Currently in Early Stages of Next Bull Run

After briefly incurring a significant influx of buying pressure, Bitcoin (BTC) has once again lost its momentum and is now… Read More

4 hours ago

Blackstone CEO Sees Blockchain’s Merit, But Is Not a Fan of Bitcoin

The traditional investment world has largely found itself split on whether or not Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies constitute sounds investments,… Read More

4 hours ago

Crypto Tidbits: Bakkt Bitcoin Futures Inbound, NASA Hints at Blockchain Ambitions, Libra in Hot Water

Another week, another of Crypto Tidbits . While Bitcoin (BTC) effectively ended the week where it started in terms of… Read More

4 hours ago

Is Bitcoin Diamond growing in popularity?

Bitcoin Diamond (BCD) is a late-2017 implementation of the Bitcoin protocol that offers a larger supply, bigger block size, and… Read More

4 hours ago

3 Proven Methods To Earn Money Online With Bitcoin

It's possible to pay your bills with money earned from the cryptocurrency market. Everyone can generate additional income, or even… Read More

4 hours ago

This website uses cookies. We use these cookies to collect data about your interaction with our website for the purpose of continuously improving your experience with our site. For more information we encourage you to read our privacy policy.

Read More