Categories: Bitcoin Business

Analysis: Bitcoin primed for a price break out

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Bitcoin is currently sitting inside a mammoth 5-month trading pattern—with a possible breakout approaching in the next 10 days. The pattern in question is called a symmetrical triangle, and refers to a chart characterized by two converging trend lines connecting a series of sequential peaks and troughs.

Looking back over the last 160 days, bitcoin's price has sat neatly inside this pattern–the first signs of it which emerged in May this year—when bitcoin's price rallied from of a low of $5,000.

From there, bitcoin gained steadily over the next two months—to hit a high of nearly $14,000 in June—followed by three distinct lower highs of $13000, $12000 and $11000, in July, August and September this year as the chart below shows.

Bitcoin has been fitly into this triangle pattern, but for how much longer?

On the support (lower) side of the triangle—bitcoin saw two recent higher lows of $9350 and $9850, in late August and just 2 days ago on September 11.

More interesting than just the pattern, however, is the shape's length, and range in the price's movement—5 months and an astonishing $10,000 (from top to bottom). While it's impossible to predict what will happen next, when a break out does occur–i.e. a price drop or rise falls outside the trend lines–it's like to be sizeable. Estimates of a movement as high as a $5,000 swing up or down over the next few weeks are not beyond expectations.

For now, all eyes seem to be on the expiry of this pattern—with many predicting that it will be on the exact day of the Bakkt bitcoin futures launch—coming up in just 10 days time.

Which way will the pattern break from there? It's unclear. However, the last time something like this happened to bitcoin–the first futures launch by the CME group back in December 2017 saw prices fall from an all-time high of $20,000.

However, this time the asset is not at all-time highs—with its mining hashrate and the lighting network back into growth this year, so a price rice seems more likely. Hashrate is in a clear bull market in 2019, and a recent report by TokenInsight corroborates that price is likely to rise as a result.

It really could go either way—in fact, the only thing that looks certain— is an explosion in price volatitlity over the next 10 days. Hold on to your hats.


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