At the time of writing, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at just below $7,800 after losing about 22% in value since last week, when BTC was trading above $9,900. However, in the last 24 hours Bitcoin lost less than 4%, meaning price is already recovering.
BTC experienced a substantial pump earlier in the month which saw its price jump from $10,000 to a peak of around $10,900. Price quickly retraced to around $10,200 and has now dropped below the psychological $10,000 level once more.
Following a number of lower highs, Bitcoin now seems to be in a short-term downtrend, with price dropping below its 200-day EMA.
Will price recover back to $10,000 and above? If so, when?
Let’s take a look at Bitcoin’s chart.
As you can see from the chart above, BTC is now back to trading between its 20-day EMA, 50-day EMA and 200-day EMA. Price was swinging between the 20-day and the 50-day EMA during most of the month, however, last week saw the price finally closed below all EMAs.
Last week, I stated Bitcoin should be bouncing back after the drop but we might have to wait for a few more weeks while Bitcoin consolidates between $7,000 and $9,600.
BTC is prone to huge drops between 30% and 40%, even during bull seasons, meaning we shouldn’t expect the market to suddenly enter a long-term bearish momentum. I don’t advise to fight the trend, but to always surf it for as long as possible. Hopefully, within the next three to five weeks, we will see a major reversal after a period of serious accumulation by hodlers.
Volume has dropped from a peak of $27 billion earlier in the year to around $14 billion now, although it’s currently on a positive trend towards $15 billion.
Bitcoin’s market dominance has also decreased slightly from 70% to 68,5%, according to CoinMarketCap.
As veteran traders and investors usually say, smart money “buys when there’s blood on the streets”. Looking at the overall market behaviour, I’m quite confident that we’re still in a bull run, but we should enjoy these consolidation periods and take the opportunity to scoop up some more BTC. These drops won’t last forever.
The reason why I’m confident is because it’s hard to see a different scenario. How can the markets not push higher up throughout the year after the ECB’s recent rate cuts, the continuous share buybacks from huge corporations, or the inverted bond yield shoving investors away towards riskier assets?
Current live Bitcoin pricing information and interactive charts are available on our site 24 hours a day. The ticker bar at the bottom of every page on our site has the latest Bitcoin price. Pricing is also available in a range of different currency equivalents:
US Dollar – BTCtoUSD
British Pound Sterling – BTCtoGBP
Japanese Yen – BTCtoJPY
Euro – BTCtoEUR
Australian Dollar – BTCtoAUD
Russian Rouble – BTCtoRUB
In August 2008, the domain name bitcoin.org was registered. On 31st October 2008, a paper was published called “Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System”. This was authored by Satoshi Nakamoto, the inventor of Bitcoin. To date, no one knows who this person, or people, are.
The paper outlined a method of using a P2P network for electronic transactions without “relying on trust”. On 3rd January 2009, the Bitcoin network came into existence. Nakamoto mined block number “0” (or the “genesis block”), which had a reward of 50 Bitcoins.
As with any investment, it pays to do some homework before you part with your money. The prices of cryptocurrencies are volatile and go up and down quickly. This page is not recommending a particular currency or whether you should invest or not.
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed by the author should not be considered as financial advice.