The final nail was just put in the coffin of bulls. An indicator that tracks the health of the Bitcoin (BTC) mining ecosystem has just flashed bearish for the first time in a year, signaling impending capitulation.
Bitcoin Miners Ready to Capitulate
Just last month, the price of BTC surged by 42% from $7,300 to $10,500 in a day’s trading session, marking the fourth-largest upward move in the history of the cryptocurrency. Unfortunately for bulls though, this jaw-dropping surge hasn’t done much to reverse a medium-term bear trend that has formed over the past few months. In fact, a key selling signal just flashed, despite the aforementioned move.
As pointed out by cryptocurrency commentator Cole Garner, the Hash Ribbons — an indicator tracking the health of Bitcoin’s hash rate — has just seen a bearish crossover. While this may not mean much in and of itself, the bearish crossover of the Ribbons was last seen “just before Bitcoin broke down from $6,000… TL;DR this is a bearish signal.”
Miner capitulation warning!
Hash ribbons have confirmed a crossover.
Last time this happened was a year ago, just before $BTC broke down from $6k.
I have to step out, will explain in more detail tomorrow, but TL;DR this is a BEARISH signal.
Move slow…but manage risk. pic.twitter.com/1v4ctkSKiq
To better illustrate the importance of miners capitulating, here’s a chart from industry podcaster and Bitcoin bull Preston Pysh. As Pysh’s chart below clearly depicts, the mining capitulation was seemingly what catalyzed the now-infamous crash from $6,000 to $3,000 in late-2018.
— Preston Pysh (@PrestonPysh) November 14, 2019
History repeating would see Bitcoin tumble 50% in the coming six weeks to find a bottom, especially as miners start to pull their machines from active operation and start to sell their stashes to keep the lights on.
The news of an impending capitulation in the miner market comes after the Bitcoin network saw a large difficulty drop of 7%, the biggest difficulty drop since the aforementioned capitulation of 2018.
In short, mining indicators suggest that we’re seeing a redux of the “crypto winter” of yesteryear.
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