Bitcoin Price Watch; A Cautionary Tale

By June 21, 2016Bitcoin Business

SPONSORED ARTICLE:   Tech Analysis articles are sponsored by SimpleFx – “Keep it simple!” , SimpleFX is a robust online trading provider, offering trading with Forex CFDs on Bitcoins, Litecoins, indices, precious metals and energy. Offers and trading conditions simple and transparent. If all we seem to be doing at the moment is offering up cautionary tales, it’s because that’s exactly what we are doing. It’s so easy to get overexcited when price gains double digit percentage points in the space of a few hours – something we’ve seen on a number of occasions across the last week or so – but this excitement must temper at some point. Why? Because when all is said and done, bitcoin is not like other traditional financial assets. Not right now, at least. Again, why? Well, a large portion of the fiat currency that gets bought and sold every day is operational – i.e. used for transactions. The same can be said for bitcoin, but not to the same extent. Much of the volume derives from speculative activity, and this can only mean one thing – short term reversals. As price rises, people who took speculative positions at lower prices will start to close out their positions, which of course, means selling bitcoin. This selling drives down price (as a feature of any open market) and initiates a reversal. Once this reversal gets to a certain level, it picks up pace, and that’s where we look to be now. Price reversed yesterday, but throughout today’s session, we’ve seen a solid a sustained decline to fresh weekly lows.

So where do we go from here? Well, take a look at the chart. As the chart shows, we are focusing on a relatively wide range going into this evening’s session, defined by support to the […]

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